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candidatecasino.com is a permanent, public archive of election betting odds and prediction-market prices, normalised across venues and set against polling.
Last updated:
Three elections, one day
13 Sept 2026 · polls 08:00–20:00
Predicted
89markets
The 2026 general election
All 349 seats · 4% national threshold Next prime minister after the 2026 electionLargest party in the 2026 general electionSecond-largest party in the 2026 general electionThird-largest party in the 2026 general election Riksdag → Reference 20regionsThe 2026 region election
Healthcare and public transport · 3% threshold Stockholm County — 2022 region electionVästra Götaland — 2022 region election Region → Reference 290municipalitiesThe 2026 municipal election
Schools, social services, planning · 2–3% threshold Stockholm Municipality — 2022 municipal electionGothenburg — 2022 municipal electionMalmö — 2022 municipal electionTrollhättan — 2022 municipal election Municipality →Only the Riksdag election is priced by betting markets. The region and municipal councils are described from the official count.
The 2026 general election
10 markets
Next prime minister after the 2026 election
SMagdalena Andersson
75.2%1.33
no poll equivalent · ▼ 0.9
S in next government after the 2026 general election
SSwedish Social Democratic Party
74.4%1.34
no poll equivalent · ▼ 0.2
SD in government after the 2026 election
SDSweden Democrats
7.4%13.45
no poll equivalent · ▼ 0.8
Moderate Party in government after the 2026 Swedish election
MModerate Party
24.1%4.15
no poll equivalent · ▼ 1.5
Centre Party in government after the 2026 general election
CCentre Party
46.4%2.16
no poll equivalent · ▼ 0.4
Left Party in government after the 2026 election
VLeft Party
15.1%6.63
no poll equivalent · - 0.0
KD in Government After the 2026 Riksdag Election
KDChristian Democrats
24.0%4.17
no poll equivalent · ▼ 1.1
MP in government after the 2026 general election
MPGreen Party
63.7%1.57
no poll equivalent · - 0.0
Liberals in government after the 2026 Riksdag election
LLiberals
22.1%4.53
no poll equivalent · ▲ 2.0
Citizens' Coalition (MED) in government after the 2026 Riksdag election
?Citizens' Coalition (MED)
0.5%181.82
1 venue only · ▲ 0.1
All markets
89 markets across 2 venues.
Sweden's elections